A prospects for asteroid 2024 by hitting the ground have changed, again – national

Asteroid 2024 surely holds OUR On his feet, as a threat to his potential to collide with the earth in 2032, he continued with Yo-Yo.
Just three days ago, the Space Agency announced that now is a non-not-in-aged piece of Space rock a approximately 3 percent of chances colliding with our planet – but by Thursday, that probability has fallen.
According to the NASA Center for Study of the Object near Earth (Cneos), the risk of a massive space rock, called “city killer”, is now fell at about 1.5 percent.
The asteroid close to the ground made the headlines for the first time last month, when NASA and the European Space Agency announced its existence and said that it was wearing a 1 percent chance Arriving in contact with our planet. The highest estimate, from the NASA -Ice Landscape Landscape, suggested 3.1 percent chance Asteroid will hit the ground on December 2, 2032.
This increase briefly saw that in 2024 he became the most serious asteroid in history Cneos -s that table on the risk of guards.
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“Asteroid this size affects the Earth on average every few thousand years and could cause severe damage The local region, “Esa said in space safety briefing.” As a result, the facility climbed to the top of the ESA’s risk list of asteroids. “
As for the latest risk of risk of influence, NASA wrote: “New observations of asteroids 2024 YR4 helped us Update your chance to influence 2032. The current probability is 1.5%. “
“Our understanding of the asteroid path is improved with every observation. We will inform you, “the agency said, indicating that there will certainly be more updates.
The asteroid is measured between 40 and 90 meters, based on estimates from its reflected light.
Scientists have previously said that they are not holding them at night and No one should panicDespite not excluding the possibility of influence.
Although experts are not sure where the collision will happen, the warning was published by international asteroid warning networks at the end of January, the IVn), he said corridor from influential risk They extend “through the Eastern Pacific Ocean, North South America, the Atlantic Ocean, Africa, the Arabian Sea and South Asia.”
If she hit the ground, in 2024 she would cause “serious explosion damage,” according to IAVn, which stretched to 50 kilometers from the impact site.
According to ESA -I, NASA and other space agencies will use the James Webb space telescope to continue to get An even more accurate estimate from the size of the asteroids to better understand “how significant impact can be.”
“It is very important that we improve the size assessment by 2024: the danger presented with 40 m asteroid is very different from that asteroid of 90 m,” the report said.
– With Global News ‘files’ Katie Scott
& Copy 2025 Global News, Corus Enterinment Inc.