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Top political handicapper reveals the chances of Demova in the 2026 Senate victory


Democrats face “a few opportunities” to return Senate majority In the middle of the next year, he predicts top -notch’s non -partisan political handicapper.

While the Republicans defend places in 22 countries in 2026 compared to only 13 for Democrats, the first ranking of Senate Senate Senate in a new election cycle indicates a hard road before the participation of Democrats, because they aim to recover control over the chamber.

The Senate Republicans enjoyed a very favorable map in the 2024 cycle as they switched four places from blue to red and broke to most 53-47 in the new Congress, to go along with President Donald TrumpAgain collecting a white house and a successful GOP defense against most of the house.

Senate and Governor’s editor Cook Jessica Taylor, looking at a new Senate Battle, suggested that “the challenge to democrats to determine four places needed to return most of her appearance Herculean.”

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Senator Gary Peters of Michigan, Chairman of the Democratic Senator Campaign Committee, interviewed Fox News Digital at the Democratic National Convention in Chicago on August 19, 2024. (Fox News – Paul Steinhauser)

The chef report took two places as a throw, and both control Democrats.

They are on Michigan battlefields – where Democratic Senator Gary Peters announced two weeks ago that he would not seek re -elections in 2026 – and Georgia – where Democrat Jon Ossoff faces a grossy through the second six -year term in Senate.

Trump switched Michigan in the election last November, while then the tail. Elissa Samo’s closely branched by Republican former Ambassador Mike Rogers in the race to succeed in succeeding in longtime colleagues of Democratic Senare Debbie Stabenow. Rogers now seriously considered another direct offer for the Senate.

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In Georgia, which Trump also transferred after lost his country in his election for former President Joe Biden in 2020, a Cook report calls Ossoff’s “most vulnerable training”.

State and National Republicans They invite the popular Republican government Brian Kemp – which is limited within 2026 – to cause Ossoff.

The Cook report is the key state of New England Swing at New Hampshire as a skinny Democrat.

Democratic Senica Jeanne Shaheen of New Hampshire speaks before then President Joe Biden arrived to submit a recipe for recipe costs, on Tuesday, October 2, 2024 in Concord, New Hampshire. (AP Photo/Steven Senne)

The longtime Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen, a former governor, has yet to announce whether to seek a second term in power. In addition, while joined by Democrats in the State of Granite told Fox News in the last few months that they expected 78-year-old Shaheen to run for a re-choice, her recently announced a rare collection of funding for the quarter of a quarter last year I surprised many politics .

Former Republican Senator Scott Brown, who served as an ambassador to Novi Zealand during Trump’s first term at the White House, is heading to start a second Senate ride in New Hampshire, ten years after he lost to Shaheen.

Trump supported candidate for the GOP Senate 2024 in the key state of Battleground, which moved toward the second run in 2026

Although no seats in Senate are listed as a throw, two Cook report was rated as a lean Republican.

They are Maine, where the moderate Susan Collins Susan Collins is running for the re-elections in the State Trump lost in November last November, and North Carolina, where Republican Senator Thoma Tillis is looking for another term in the state Trump that worn closely last year.

Republika Senarica Susan Collins of Maine referred to Kat Senate to vote on 23 January 2024. In Washington, DC (Photo Samuel Corum/Getty Images)

While Cook cites both races as a lean Republican, Taylor notes that “the grade could change if Democrats employ strong candidates.”

These Democratic candidates could be former government of northern Caroline Roy Cooper, who ended his second term earlier this year, and Maine’s government Janet Mills, who is a term of office of 2026.

Meet the Republican Senator in charge of defense of the GOP of Senate majority in 2026

When it comes to potentially competitive races, the Cook report classifies Ohio as a probable Republican. GOP’s government Mike Dewine appointed Lieutenant Jon Husted last month to fulfill the place previously held by President of the already Vice JD Vance. Husted is now working in 2026 to fulfill the last two years of Vance’s term.

One key state on the battlefield, Ohio switched to deep red in the recent elections and unclear if former longtime Democratic senator Sherrod Brown, who lost a re -selection last year, was brought to another offer of 2026.

Cook also cites Minnesota – where the Democratic Senator Tina Smith is next year for a re -choice – as a probable democrat.

Senator Tim Scott of South Carolina, the chairman of the National Republican Senator Committee, said last November that he would “want to see 55”, when asked in a digital interview with Fox News, how much space he aimed at 2026 medium.

In addition, this last weekend at a winter meeting of the GOP Senate Campaign Committee, Scott reiterated that “we believe we can reach 55 or maybe even stretched by 56”, according to the sources attended by Confab at Palm Beach, Florida.

Party in power – which cycle is obviously Republicans – traditionally faces the mid -election elections.

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However, Taylor, pointing to a recent poll, notes that “Marko Democrat’s party … deeply unpopular.”

“Even if Democrats were able to defend any officials and an open place on their part and turn both of these countries, it would leave them two short majority. It is difficult to find additional goals,” Taylor emphasized.



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