American manufacturers report on the decline in command because growth expectations are reduced
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American manufacturers reported to the big drops of new orders and employment in February, guessing the fear that the economy loses momentum because the expectations of growth have dropped sharply.
The ISM index manager for a purchase on Monday fell to 50.3 in February with 50.9 previous month, leaving it just above the contraction territory, while the secondary indices pointed to a sharp drop in new orders from 55.1 to 48.6.
The assessment of the launch of GDP Federal Reserve Atlanta, published on Monday, pointed to a 2.8 percent drop in US activities in the first quarter, which is a much steep drop of 1.5 -pointed contraction, which he suggested on Friday.
Data come due to increasing concerns about the influence that will be aggressive by President Donald Trump’s aggressive trade policy on the US economy, as corporations weigh the prospect of steep tariffs on the largest partners in the country.
Trump said he was planning to impose 25 percent of tariffs on Mexico and Canada from Tuesdays and double his duty to China to 20 percent.
However, on Sunday, the Store of the Howard Lutnick store suggested that the scope of the tariff had yet to be completed, describing the situation as “fluid.”
Economists have said that uncertainty has separated confidence compared to the tariff, adding that a sharp jump is on the scale of the price paid in the ISM report indicates increasing concern due to inflationary influence.
“Several sectors notice the orders to dry in the midst of elevated insecurity over trade policy,” said Oliver Allen, a senior American economist of Pantheon Macroeconomics.
“At least some earlier increase in the ISM production index from October to January reflected manufacturers who were in a hurry to complete the orders before applying the tariffs – a rush that seems to appear,” he added.
The cooperation in the first quarter cited by Atlanta Fed would mark a sharp turnaround after the US economy in the fourth quarter has become a annual rate of 2.3 percent, although this was a weaker end of a year expected, which raised the resistant American consumer.
The sharp drop in the indicators of GDNOW was influenced by poor trade data, weak construction data and a light reading of ISM.
Economists in Goldman Sachs were more optimistic about GDP, however, leaving an assessment of monitoring for the first quarter unchanged at an annual growth rate of 1.6 percent.
Jack Kleinhenz, the chief economist at the National Retail Federation, said the US economy entered in 2025 with a “pretty swing”.
But he added that the image becomes less clear, as a result of “cross -streams”, including the restrictions of immigration, tariffs and deregulation.
“Although recent economic data is still strong, we are concerned about the disadvantages,” he said.
