Gaza Restoration: What would it be necessary to win in this breeding battle | Israel-Palestine News of Conflict
It’s been 16 months since the war of Israel began against Gaza and the enclave lies in the ruins.
Renovation will be one of the biggest efforts to renovate in modern history, asking the question of who will pay for it still needs to be resolved.
Israeli army has killed more than 61,700 people And wounded another 110,000, mostly women and children. Many bodies are still buried below 50 million tons from ruins.
For now, there is no clear plan for renovation. Last week President Donald Trump made comments o The United States “take over” Gaza and force the expulsion of their people, in what human rights groups said that ethnic cleansing.
His proposal was round rejected by international leaders.
The real renewal cost remains unknown
From October 7, 2023. Israel at least fell 75,000 tons explosives on the gauze. More than 90 percent of homes and 88 percent of schools were damaged or destroyed, not to mention the bombing of roads, hospitals, farms and water purification facilities.
The United Nations estimates that it will cost $ 53 billion to reconstruct Gaza, and the UNDP report reported last year states that this could take at least 2040.
“The UNDP assessment does not take into account all physical infrastructure. It’s just housing, “said Rami Azlazzeh, an economic issues at the UN conference and trade conference and development.
“We will not know the real renovation costs until it is implemented on the field. Accordingly, we know that it will cost dozens of billions of dollars, “Alazzeh said.” And the procedure will have to start by cleaning the ruins. “
Just cleaning it will cost at least $ 1.2 billion, or “just over half of the GDP Gaza in 2022,” Alaszeh states.
Removal of ruins will be complicated by an unploded command, dangerous contamination – like asbestos – and Thousands of dead bodies.
Far from physical infrastructure renews the lives of people in Gaza.
“The war conditions pushed unemployment to 90 percent,” Alazzeh said. “Human capital is badly hit. The children have already lost 16 months of school, and people have not received appropriate medical care for a year and a half.”
In the first nine months of conflict, the World Health Organization has reported nearly one million cases of acute respiratory infections in Gaza, half a million cases of diarrhea and 100,000 cases of scab, all on the background high malnutrition.
Because the long -term prospects for the development of gauze will be “seriously limited”, Azlazzeh said that “the pace of renovation will depend on the possible continuation of hostilities”, compared to Israeli repeated destruction of gauze infrastructure in the past.
Funding more than money
After Israeli war for Gaza in 2014, international donors promised $ 5.4 billion To renew the efforts on roads, hospitals, housing complexes and agricultural projects.
This time the renovation will focus on similar areas, but the total level of destruction is higher and the situation seems more insecure.
Palestinian economist for the development of Paradise Khalidi said Al Jazeera said, far from Trump’s extraordinary plan, “key players like Egypt and Qatar will not put a lot of money on the table without a political process.”
For Khalida, “Blocking Mitigation and Generation [construction] Momentum will require a government in Gaza that is acceptable to donors, Palestine and Israelis. ” However, he warned that “the political consensus is our Achilles heel for many years.”
Even if the funds occurred, Khalidi said, Israel is a ban “double use“Building materials entering Gaza – dating from 2007 – inhibits a construction. Israel blocks the imports of pipes, steel and cement, claiming that they could help Hamas to build underground tunnels.
While the third phase Fire Interruption Agreement between Hamas and Israel He prescribes the complete withdrawal of Israeli troops, followed by a three -to -five -year -old renovation process, Khalidi emphasized that the chances of achieving that phase are very small.
Israel has already threatened to return to Gaza bombing if Hamas does not post three agreed prisoners by Saturday.
Hamas announced a break on the implementation of his foreign agreement on a tribute, stating Israeli Repeated Powder Breach.
Trump’s plan in the Middle East
Israel said he would not pay to repair the damage she had caused in Gaza.
“Israel rejected the idea of compensation,” said Daniel Levy, a former Israeli government advisor. “Unjust, Israel is also talked about how Gaza should be guided.”
The Israeli government announced that they would not accept Hamas’s leadership in Gaza, while many in the international community want a revitalized Palestinian authority (pa) manage gauze – feelings that most do not share Palestinians In Gaza.
Until last week, analysts believed that Trump – who long wanted Saudi Arabia to normalize relationships with Israel through Abraham contracts -I would take the Israelis and Palestinians with strong hands in regionally acceptable, if fragile, peace.
But after Trump’s proposal to ethnically clear the gauze, the ability to normalize the Saudi Israeli, which Riyadh conditioned the creation of the Palestinian state, “thrown out in a long grass,” Levy said.
“The attitude of Saudi Arabia about the establishment of the Palestinian state is firm and unwavering,” his Ministry of Foreign Affairs he said in response to Trump’s The plan “Riviera of the Middle East”.
“I don’t hold my breath on a two -state solution,” Levy said. “Unfortunately, for Gaza, reconstruction is a conversation in the shadow. Renewal talks about politics … and in the end the balance of Israeli interests prevails.”
“I don’t expect Trump or the international community to do it soon,” he said.
For economist Khalidi, Palestinian determination offers a view of the future after 16 months of war.
“If money [from abroad] It doesn’t come, the people from Gaza will renew it themselves, “he said.” It will take much longer, but they will do it. “
