Purchase of shares after they have lost significant market value can lead to excellent yields in the long run, but only if the company in question can reverse its wealth.
Sometimes corporations are lagging behind the wider market for good reasons. They may not give strong financial results, or their prospects look intricate. Investors want to stay away from these stocks even when they look like they are hitting a stone because they are unlikely to recover and deliver solid yields.
With this in mind, let’s consider two companies near their 52-week lowest ones that still don’t look attractive: Tilray brands(Nasdaq: Tlry) and NOVAVAX(NASDAQ: NVAX).
Tilray Brands is a leader in cannabis marketBut given how poor this industry has been in recent years, this is not exactly a claim of glory.
The legal landscape in this sector remains unfavorable in many countries, including the US, where the recreational use of the pot is still illegal at the federal level. Even in Canada, which has friendly laws, strict requirements for small, too much supply and competition from illegal channels were significant winds for Tilray and its peers.
As a result, the company’s financial results were not particularly good. Much of Tilray’s revenue growth came from acquisition, while remains unprofitable.
True, Tilray is a variety of business. Thanks to several acquisitions, he has become a leader in the US craft beer market. Still, Tilray still puts his hopes in the cannabis industry. Company CEO, Irwin Simon, predicted This recreational use of the substance will be legalized in the US at the federal level in the next four years. And once (if) that happens, Tilray will probably seek to use his position in the craft cooking area to enter and dominate the drinking market soaked in cannabis.
However, even American legalization may not be enough to save Tilray’s chances. For one, this could come with all kinds of rules and regulations that will interfere with his business ability. This happened in Canada: since the country legalized weeds more than six years ago, every clean game, a public trading company that dipped the toes on this market, lost its significant value. Furthermore, the legalization in the US -in almost certainly, would have attracted larger players with deeper pockets and significant experience moving in markets for highly regulated substances.
Tilray will still be able to cut a lucrative niche for themselves under these conditions, but given the legalization in the US, it is not a guarantee and taking into account the record records of the company in the last six years, there are few reasons to hope that it will be successful from here. So, even at current levels, Tilray is not worth a problem.
NOVAVAX has achieved well last year, but the company’s shares have been significantly reduced in the last three years and are not far from their 52-week lowest $ 3.81.
Although Biotech was once a leading choice to dominate the Coid-19 vaccine market, things did not fall out because it lagged behind any leaders: Modern And the team Pfizer and I was binetic. Novavax earned a victory last year when he wrote a contract with a biotechnological giant Sanofi This has approved the latest right to commercialize vaccine against the Koronavirus Novavax in most countries around the world.
Sanofi also got the way to use NOVAVAX’s adjuvant technology for some of his own development vaccines. The agreement came with a payment of $ 500 million for NOVAVAX and up to $ 700 million in contingent payments except author’s fees.
Because of this, NOVAVAX’s shares rose last year, but it’s been downhill since then. Although the contract has helped to enter some of the much needed money in the company, it still has to develop and market its own products to be successful. Novavax’s late -stage pipeline has a independent flu vaccine and combined covid/flu.
This investigative vaccine reached a regulatory failure at the end of last year when the US Food and Medicines Administration (FDA) put clinical retention of both candidates due to suspicious severe side effects. Fortunately, the FDA then raised these clinical states, but this episode pointed out that NOVAVAX is a high risk game. Clinical and regulatory winds could be catastrophic to their prospects.
This would be less problems if NOVAVAX already generated significant income or if its products seem extremely promising. But that’s not the case, at least not yet. The flu vaccine market will look all crowds, especially with candidates based on MRNA, which are faster to produce and can help increase the otherwise low effective rate that they usually have current options.
Many also work on combined covid/flu vaccines. Novavax’s candidate could prove more effective in studies in late stages, but there are few reasons to think that he will, and if it is not, his shares will fall off the cliff. So, NOVAVAX does not look like an attractive biotechnological stock right now. Investors should stay away.
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Prosper Junior Bakiny There is no position in any of the shares mentioned. Motley Fool has positions and recommends Pfizer. Motley Fool recommends brands of biontech se, modern and tilray. Motley Fool has disclosure rules.