Champions League qualification: Who is most likely to win in the race and how many places will the Premier League team have? | Football news
The last 16 this year’s Champions League has not even started, but with the Premier League home straight in Vidika, thoughts are already turning to qualifying for the tournament in the next year.
Race for the best four – or most likely five, but we’ll come back later – it’s pretty tight, because only six points separated Nottingham Forest in the third and Aston Villa until the age of 10, with the remaining to 33 points for the game.
Liverpool and Arsenal Take a look at the Champions League to reach the next season and already enjoy 21 points and bundles of eight points in fifth place. Opta gives Liverpool 100 percent of the chance to end up in the best of four, and Arsenal is just a little probably with 99.9 percent chance.
Behind them are more than half a thyme, including Manchester City and Chelsea “But also a surprise of the package Sum and Bournemouth – In the recording to make it over the line. Because teams are so firmly collected, things can change very quickly.
Nottingham Forest increased his chances by holding runner -up arsenal to a goalkeeper on the city ground, avoiding running three direct defeats.
In the meantime, Newcastle saw a hit on the road after defeating Runaway League Liverpool leading three defeats in four matches. This allowed Man City to climb fourth place with a 1-0 victory over Lowly Tottenham.
Chelsea also climbed in the top five with a 4-0 win over Bott Club Southampton to increase their chances to reach the Champions League.
San Bournemouth’s Champions League made a hit after defeating wolves and Brightonwho have now moved to the cherries with the cherries after that victory.
MeanwhileAston Villa’s The credentials hit as Crystal Palace beat them 4-1, and Unai Emery is currently undergoing a ticklish form.
And they are Fulham In the mix now after 2-1 wins over the wolves have erected to the ninth? BrentfordChances for Europe hit while Everton held them to draw 1-1.
Will the Premier League have five champions League spots next season?
It’s not safe, but it is very likely that England will have at least five champions League places in the next season for the first time after 2017/18, due to the premier league performance in Europe.
Six of the seven English teams who participated in the European competition this season have passed the last 16 of their tournaments, and only Man City is absent after their play Champions League in Real Madrid.
It puts it comfortably at the top of the chart for its European coefficient of this season, which is the accumulation of victories and draws that have picked up foreign country and further points awarded as far as they do in every continental competition.
The best two countries at the end of the season will get an additional place for the Champions League next season, and Italy and Spain are currently fighting second place.
However, the word caution. England was comfortable at the top of the UEFA coefficient list for most of the last season before the elimination rabbit from the European competition came to find that additional qualifications would disappear, limiting a five -ranked Tottenham in this season’s Europa League instead of the Champions League.
If the representatives of the Premier League on the continent find themselves at the wrong end of some ticklish draws, the same could happen this time.
There is another way in which England could end up with five – or maybe even six places. This outcome would happen if any of Tottenham or Manchester United won this year’s Europa League while ends up outside the Premier League qualifying positions.
Who is most likely to reach the first four – or five?
It still takes 11 games, but Opta has also given Liverpool and Arsenal an almost certain chance to reach the Champions League in the next season thanks to their tampon over the teams below them and the difficulties in their remaining fixtures compared to other sides in the race.
Bearing this in mind, Man City are the third favorites who qualified for the tournament in the next season, despite sitting behind Forest on the table-s with their victory over the Spurs were experiencing their first five chances for 86 to 91.8 percent. Pepa Guardiola’s side also has an 82.8 percent chance of completion in the top four.
The Nuno Espirito Santo forest has the next best chance of rounding four with a 40.8 percent chance, but they are closely followed by Chelsea (32.7 percent) and Newcastle (26.7 percent).
The top five situations look better for Forest, which have a 62.3 percent chance of securing that feat that is likely to secure the Champions League football next season. But again, Chelsea (54 percent) and Newcastle (47.9 percent) are also in the mix.
The defeat of Bournemouth Brighton gave the chances of cherrying real recesses, with their likelihood that the top five final finals will be reduced to 22.2 percent – which means they are twice as likely to miss in comparison with Newcastle and Chelsea.
In the meantime, Brighton’s chances were given less stimulus, as their first five percent of their percentages jumped to 14.1 percent – greater than Fulham (3 percent), Aston Villa (4.2 percent), Brentford (0.6 percent) and crystal palace (0.3 percent) in combination.
The Spurs, meanwhile, saw their very lean chances that the top five (0.5 percent) was extinguished to 0 percent.
But with the top half of the Premier League so tight, all this could easily change in the next three months.
Here are the average position of the following five Premier League opponents, they have been taken by the right of the season …
The remaining games between teams in mix …
Teams included with one percent or more qualifying chance:
- 8. March: Nottingham Forest Vs Man City, Brighton vs Fulham
- March 15: Man City vs Brighton
- March 16: Arsenal Vs Chelsea – Live Further Sky Sports
- 1. April: Arsenal Vs Fulham, Brighton Vs Aston Villa
- 5th. April: Aston Villa Vs Nottingham Forest, Fulham Vs Liverpool
- April 12: Bournemouth vs Fulham
- April 19: Aston Villa vs Newcastle, Fulham vs Chelsea
- 26. April: Man City Vs Aston Villa
- May 3: Aston Villa Vs Fulham, Brighton Vs Newcastle, Chelsea vs Liverpool
- 10. May: Bournemouth vs Aston Villa, Liverpool vs Arsenal, Newcastle vs Chelsea
- May 18: Arsenal vs Newcastle, Brighton VS Liverpool, Man City Vs Bournemouth
- 25. May: Fulham Vs Man City, Nottingham Forest Vs Chelsea
