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Your guide for what American choices 2024 means for Washington and the world
There is nowhere to return Donald Trump while the US president shook domestic politics just like in Canada. It’s great that Mark Carney, a former central banker without experience in politics or parliamentary place, catapulted in Prime Minister’s job With at least a chance to fight to win the elections that seemed lost because of his liberal party. It is even more extraordinary that the Canadian leader should face such a moment of danger because of the economy and the sovereignty of the country, after Trump’s tariff threats and conversations on converting Canada into the US 51. “Americans want our resources, our water, our country, our country,” he said in his speech about acceptance. “Canada will never, never, be part of America in any way, shape or shape.”
Canadian political landscape has re -growing into two months since Justin Trudeau stood before accident While handling liberal costs of immigration, inflation and housing costs. These domestic concerns have been blurred by Trumps covered with tariffs, slight tariffs and Talk about annexation – Which many Canadians take very seriously. More than a year of opposition conservative party and its leader inspired by Trump Pierre Poilievre He led Trodeau’s liberals up to 20 or more points. But the dangers that US president represents Canada revitalized The left center party, reduces conservative leadership over the Liberal Party under the guidance of Carney 8 points.
The lack of parliamentary majority of liberals means that Carney will almost certainly call early elections, and political wisdom suggests that it makes sense to try to upgrade to the momentum of his party. It is also in the best interest of the country to quickly choose a new government with a solid term. The elections that were expected to strengthen the Canadian momentum until recently – as in many other Western democracies – to the populist right, it could now be dependent on which leading candidates voters believe that they will be most opposed to Trump.
Some Canadians will conclude that Poilievre, who advocated faith in Trump’s in reducing taxes and replacing “awakened” excess “politics of common sense”, is best to qualify with the US president. CarneyOn the contrary, it seems that the central banker and advocate of Green Investment from Harvard and Oxford, is all that Trump does not like. Yet Carney’s experience of crisis management, as a boss CanadaDuring the financial crisis in 2008 and Britain during Brexit, the central bank gives him credibility in resolving a trade war that threatens to push his country into a deep recession.
His task is to convince the Canadian voters that he is as skilled politician as technocrat – and design Twin strategies win the elections and solve the US president. Carney showed a willingness to engage in dissatisfied liberal voters, promising to reject Trudeau’s widespread carbon tax, replace it with an industrial price system and reversal an increase in capital gain tax.
The new Canadian Prime Minister gave less sense of his strategy to deal with Trump, suggesting that it would be wrong to do it while Trudeau was still dealing with negotiations. But even though Washington partially withdrawn On the tariffs imposed by Canada last week, Trudeau is right to vow to maintain the retaliation of tariffs at around $ 30 billion ($ 21 billion) of US goods. Robility in accordance with the US president, and at the same time offering concessions on questions that are important to him, such as smuggling the border and drug smuggling, offers the best path to success.
Such negotiating skills are different from those required by a central banker, even if Carney showed a political sharpness in his campaign. He helped his party achieve what is already a unlikely turnaround. But his most difficult political tests are still lying in advance.
