Ottawa, Canada – As the new tariffs came into force on Tuesday, analysts say that if the Canadian Liberal Party keeps power, the party may thank President Donald Trump partly for such a reversal of political wealth.
From Trump’s inauguration, the official Canadian opposition conservative party-after the ruling liberals of a wide marge, seeing their popularity on poll on the public open procedure.
An Ipsos survey Posted last week revealed that, for the first time after the liberals, they won the last federal elections of 2021, in front of conservatives with two points, with 38% popularity compared to conservatives at 36%. Six weeks earlier, the conservatives led liberals for 26 points. The general election is expected to be called this spring from the heir to Trudeauu, which will be announced on Sunday.
Darrell Bricker, IPSOS CEO Global Public Relts, told Fox News Digital that he had never seen the party experience such a rapid and dramatic decline during his four decades of his career at the polling station.
Canadian conservative leader Pierre Poilievre holds a press conference at the Ottawa Hotel Hall on December 1, 2024. (Justin Tang/Canadian Press by AP)
He believes that the fall of conservatives can be attributed to two factors.
Justin Trudeauwhose personal popularity has fallen since he became 23 in 2015 in 2015, he will deviate as head of the Canadian Government and the Liberal Party on March 9; “And a threat to Trump to use the economic force in Canada to draw us to our knees and possibly absorb us as the 51st state,” Bricker explained, of the president’s planned tariffs against Canada and his repeated references regarding annexation.
During February, Nanos Research revealed that the gap was narrowing between liberals and conservatives, who were ready to form a “super majority” government a month ago with as many as 240 parliament members (MPS) in the extended domestic home with 343 seats that take effect after the following general elections.
“This is completely out the window now,” said Nik Nenos, founder and chief scientist for the Canadian electorate, who also believes that Trudeau -I would have contributed to the liberal rusts on the polls against Canada against Canada.
The president “effectively changed the voting question from: Is it time to change? – What was bad news for liberals – who can best deal with Donald Trump, a new existential threat to the Canadian economy?” offered a nanos.
Mark Carney, a former bank governor, officially announced his offer for the leadership of the Federal Liberal Party in Edmonton, Canada on January 16, 2025. (Arthur Widak/Nurphoto via Getty Images)
He explained that the leader of the Canadian conservative Officer Pierre Poilievre and his party played a role in the Liberals “showing that they were a little out of contact” in focusing on the Liberal Government’s tax on the carbon show and promised to remove it, while the Canadians became increasingly concerned about Trump’s threat.
“In return, when conservatives had an advantage of 27 points on our polling station, it had nothing to do with Pierre Poilievre is strong or loved, or conservatives are great strategists,” Nanos said. “All this had to do with the non -loved Justin Trudeau and people who wanted to change, and conservatives were an agent of change.”
According to an IPSOS survey, 86% of 1,000 respondents said that they wanted a general “immediately” to “have a federal government” with a strong term “to deal with Trump’s tariff threat.
Bricker said that the leadership of a liberal at the polling station, especially in the most influential provinces of Canada Ontario and Quebec, could even expand over the conservatives. Mark CarneyThe former governor of the central banks of England and Canada and the leader in the Liberal Leadership race inherited Trudeau as the Prime Minister.
President Donald Trump signs the executive order at the oval office on February 25, 2025. (Swimming pool)
The Canadian Ankest Veteran, Angus Reid, said that the latest survey of his company found that 51% said that Carney and liberals were most appropriate to improve relationships with the US, including tariffs, compared to 35% they chose. Conservatives under Poilievrewhom many Canadians see as holding “Trump’s plan”.
From the south of the border, the president “eroded conservative support because he completely changed the political dynamics in Canada, completely changed what could be considered as the most important ballots that was all about the removal of some luggage from Era Trudeau,” explained Reid, founder and president of the Institute Angus Reid.
“Now it’s one of the sovereignty and economics of the country.”
Another survey of Angus Reid revealed that with Carney as a liberal leader, his party is almost related to 44% with conservatives, with 45% with voting intention. In Quebec, the Liberal Party led by Carney enjoys 31% of support compared to conservatives of 22%.
Guests depict a giant Canadian flag before the flag raising ceremony on February 15. 2025 in Toronto. (Yu Ruidong/China News Service/VCG via AP)
Reid said annexation and tariffs issue a special echo with Quebecers more than any other region in Canada.
Carney’s further challenge for Poilievre is that the former “on paper, looks like a conservative,” Nanos said.
“The guy worked in the banking sector and private sector, such as Goldman Sachs, and until recently he presided over large companies like Bloomberg and Brookfield [Asset Management]. Walks and speaks as a conservative. “
Carney, an economist educated in Oxford, who has never held a chosen duty, is expected to call Snap’s election if he was elected heir to Trudeau.
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If the voter is still increasing in favor of liberals, they cannot only win a national voice in such a competition, but also the power of the majority, Reid added.
Currently, liberals have 153 MPs in a company with 338 seats, which represents a minority government.
