After about a week of conflicting signals, the new Trump administration announced that a long threatening 25 percent of tariffs to import from Canada and Mexico would enter into force on Saturday, the first Salv on what is expected to be a commercial war between the Allies.
[Read: Trump Will Hit Mexico, Canada and China With Tariffs]
When Karoline Leavitt, a white house secretary, confirmed the time on Friday, she reiterated the claim of President Trump that Canada and Mexico did not block the flow of migrants and fantanil across the border. But Vjosa Isai, my colleague with headquarters in Toronto, considered the Fentanil trade in Canada and revealed that, to any extent, his impact on the United States is minimal – nothing like the flow of illegal drugs in Canada from the United States.
[Read: Trump Calls Canada a Big Player in the Fentanyl Trade. Is It?]
Similarly, Canadian officials claimed that significantly fewer migrants were moving to the United States through Canada than through Mexico, and that, even so, Canada took steps to increase border security.
Still, the tariffs are here. Many questions remain unanswered, including whether the Canadian oil will be exempted. However, what is Mr. Trump wants to achieve?
My colleagues Ana Swanson and Alan Rappert, who reported from Washington on Mr. Trump’s trade battles during his first term of office, write: “Mr. Trump has long possessed tariffs as a weapon to deal with trade care. But the president now often uses them how would make a gain in questions that have little to do with the trade. “
[Read: Trump Threatens Tariffs Over Immigration, Drugs and Greenland]
Although no place in Canada will be intact to tariffs, few places will be deeply affected as Windsor, Ontario, my hometown. Sitting directly over Rijeka from Detroit, the city economy is intertwined with the northern American auto industry.
For the second time in the past few weeks, I have been intended at Windsor with Ian Willms, a photographer based in Toronto. On Friday we met with Dilkens, the mayor of the city.
[In case you missed it: In Canada’s ‘Suburb of Detroit,’ Fears Over Trump’s Tariff Threat]
Our conversation is condensed for space and arranged for clarity.
What will be the effect of tariffs on your city?
I will not paint another picture than it is completely catastrophic if there is 25 percent of tariffs. When a cannon is directed directly to the auto industry or sector of parts, it is here to change their lives for many families.
But the influence will be felt on the other side of the border.
This commercial war will have victims on all sides. There are no winners here. If it comes to America first and we say we will bring all these jobs back to the United States – I think it’s a dream. We have built an integrated economy with Mexico, Canada and the United States that have proven that they create a lot of jobs in all three countries.
There is no danger that Canadian companies will simply move across the border to maintain access to the US market?
You may be able to bring a plastic injection mold into an object in the United States. But to think that you will return the entire car section sector, that will not happen. It will take much longer than I think the president expects.
Is this city, any city, ready to deal with a tariff disorder?
Feds and provinces will have to step up. The necessary assistance will be analogous to the Kovida style relief: billions of dollars to help people go through until these issues cannot be resolved.
What will it take to satisfy Mr. Trump and that the tariffs have been abolished?
Everyone here is just trying to figure out what the end game is. Is Endgame Better Border Safety? Better control of illegal drugs moving forward -ate between the two countries? Is this early negotiation of the USMac trade Pact or is it something else? The uncertainty of this issue really puts it all on the edge and makes them not sure how to react. Insecurity is what kills everything.
Windsor has a lot of connections across the border. How was Mr. Trump’s proposal to join Canada USA?
There is a strong amount of Canadian pride in the city of Windsor, although we are so geographically close to the United States. If you are currently grabbing anyone in Detroit, literally a kilometer and a half, and put them together with anyone in Windsor, you will see how different their language are, their accents.
“51. State“Comment – people don’t really appreciate here. We perceive ourselves as a sovereign nation, very proud Canadians.
Trans Canada
This section was compiled by Vjos Isai.
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Ian Austen reports on Canada for Times based in Ottawa. He covers the politics, culture and people of Canada, and has reported the country for two decades. It can be reached at austen@nytimes.com. More about Ian Austen
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