Democrats, forget about Obama’s coalition. It’s time to grow over and over

American vigilance of the rise? New American majority? Coalition of climb? Ultimately, everyone was really righteous Obama coalition.

But at this point, Democrats have to get over it.

Since the 2008 elections, the fundamental democratic political priority has been to stay in this coalition – slightly defined as the voters of colors, unmarried women and young voters. These people are powered Barack Obama to his historical and historically great victory in 2008.

The problem is that the last 20 years Democrats have not He had a growth strategy – the priority was to keep and strengthen this coalition that dominated the moment in time. Well, like most movements, if you don’t have a growth strategy, you’re vulnerable. And, either intentionally, instinctively or by accident, Donald Trump pecked this status quo coalition.

Democrats must present the case that the government may be effective and good

In 2016, it is full of momentum of Democrats among white voters without a college diploma. In 2024 he made this momentum of multination, especially with Latin American voters, which led to a change of 27 points from Joe Biden in 2020 (+38) Kamala Harris 2024. (+11) with Latin.

For example, Starr, Texas, is the most famous county in the country (98%), and yet in 2024 the Republicans were first voted on. Asian voters, throughout the country, crossed S +27 for Biden 2020. Na +15 for Harris 2024, according to exit polls. And, in what is perhaps the biggest erosion in the “Obama Coalition”, Harris won the voters under 44 for two points, while Biden scored for 19 points.

Donald Trump erosed our coalition with the largest group of voters (white non-faculty) and the fastest growing group of voters (Latinari and young voters).

Where to go to growth?

Growth begins with the understanding that these voters are not the same today as they were 20 years ago or, said the other way, “No one ever twice steps in the same river.” Young voters in 2008 are now in the 40s. An educated 2008 factory worker retired and watched the options of a assisted life. The latest voters in the 2028 election. Maybe they were not born even when Barack Obama was selected in 2008.

American ‘Second’ Civic Rights Movement and VI

Our strategy, going forward, cannot be “conquering” people who have never been with us. Our strategy must be construction.

No doubt, Democratic growth strategy must include voters who are not educated. But it will not be the victory in the overall conquest of the “white working class voters”. Democrats have not won them since 1964. These days, growth may not only come from nostalgic tropics of voters who are not faculties on the factory floor, but to those who work in the service industry and are more multidate.

Seniors. Formerly a higher voice was dispositive in national elections, and the elderly formed the backbone of the Republican Party. In the 2008 elections. Voters over 65 made up about 20% of the electorate. By 2024, it might have been closer to 30%. And 2024 Democrats were weaker than 2020 with six points, but were overrated with women 65+ for four points. These may be the first presidential elections in modern times when Democrats won the higher vote (or were basically tied). Instead of just regretting the loss of young voters and how to simply “recover”, maybe Democrats should turn.

Men with college education. Democrats may have achieved a limited gain (or others) with men over 55 years of age in 2024, mostly driven by white -educated faculties. Between 2012 and 2020, Democrats gained with men who were educated at colleges-42% in 2012 and 51% in 2020. Although Democrats may have maximized potential gains in women educated at colleges, men educated at colleges represent a slow growing group and the one where Democrats could have room for growth. In each post-Murtem in 2024, or in planning a discussion for the upcoming year, a fundamental question Every Democrat should ask is: “How will this help us grow?”

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Lower engagement. One of the main differences between the 2008 and 2010 elections was that the higher hired medium -term electoral body was excessively indexed the Republican in 2010, and the Obamina coalition remained at home. Comparing 2022 at the age of 2024, this trend turned. In the final election election survey of New York Times, people who did not vote in 2020. They were ready to vote Trump for four points, while Harris and Donald Trump were bound among the full probable electorate.

This is far from the exhaustive list. Perhaps these are Latin American or Asian voters or even the voters of the following generations (eg people turn 18 between 2026 and 2028). We do not have to cut and croak to grow. We must first adopt the belief that our priority is to grow.

How do you grow?

The good news is that most of our voters are similar. Their main concern is economics and costs while having deep distrust of the political system they consider to be equipped against them. They are usually less political, less ideologically and less liberal. It is a common denominator for growth.

If we are going to hold a growth strategy as our northern star, we have to be a party that echoes with these voters.

Donald Trump claimed to help American workers. Now he betrays them

In the last survey of New York Times/IPSOS, 72% of people think completely that “the Government is mostly working to use themselves and the elite.” If we want to seriously engage in growth strategy, it means being a party of reforms and a party party, not the Status Quo party. We cannot be part of “saving” institutions, but we can confront the people who want to eliminate them. When it comes to government, we can be a party “fix, don’t finish it.”

In economics, in the same poll, 68% of people believe that the “economic system in this country is unfairly favored by the rich”. If we want to have a multi-level, inter-design strategy for growth, we have to be a party that takes over the status of quo economy and makes it work for everyday people, starting with lower costs.

The list of growth strategies could continue, which is a discussion we need to lead.

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It’s been a time of time to leave hope that we will “keep” or “repeat” what we had 20 years ago. At that time, we moved from the original iPhone to the iPhone 16. This original coalition is gone and it is time to form again.

In every postmortem in 2024, or in planning a discussion for the upcoming year, a fundamental question Every Democrat should ask is: “How will this help us grow?” Like William S. Burroughs, an avant -garde counterculture, he once said, “When you stop growing, you start dying.”

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