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Where will the target supplies be in two years?


Vendor with large boxes Goal (Nyse: tgt) fight. Sales growth has given up in the last two years and lagging behind Free cash flow (FCF) was reduced by 13%in the same period.

That would not be so bad if Target faced those soft figures in the vacuum, but that’s not the case. Walmart and Amazon They recorded a double -digit sale growth and generous cash flows while the target fell.

As a result, the target shares are traded at a favorable evaluation of 0.6 times more than sales or 14 times FCF. Could double the price and still look accessible next to Archival of retail Walmart and Amazon.

Has the modern market have passed the goal or is the shares prepared to return the construction of wealth? Let’s look at.

Brave target investors face several significant problems.

First, the market does not really like this section in 2025. It has reduced 5% in the last six months, from January 30th. Walmart increased 45%and Amazon shares received 29%in the same period of time. Target lags behind the wider market: S & P 500 The stock market index increased by 12%.

And the fall can continue for a while. Your average analyst on Wall Street puts both Amazon and Walmart in the “Strong Buy” category, while Target only gets a recommendation for consensus to “hold”.

Moreover, 2.7% of Target shares are currently selling investors. It’s not too scary, but it’s more than three times the percentage of short sales for Walmart and Amazon.

The gloomy story continues when I get from market signposts on Wall Street to the financial metrics. The revenue growth was slower than its key competitors in each quarter since the summer of 2022. The growth rate has fallen on a negative territory in three of the last six reports. Cash flows and earnings are not growing.

Finally, the administration focused its festive strategy on thousands of price reductions and promotional offers. To be fair, that page was thrown out of Walmart’s book immediately. It is still discouraging to see Target the sacrificial generous profit margin of the year in an effort to launch its stops of revenue growth engines.

Still, that’s not the end of the road.

The company gave shareholders something to celebrate in January a report on the sale of the holidays. Combining November and December into a suitable holiday period, sales increased 2.8% compared to the year, and e-commerce operations recorded a profit of 9% of revenue. The foot traffic in the stores was increased, the categories of products with higher margins like clothing and toys saw what the administration called the “meaningful acceleration of sales” from the slow third quarter, and the weekend Black Friday delivered a record sale.



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