Is it getting harder to survive the promoted teams in the Premier League? Southampton, Leicester and Ipswich are on their way to a raft of unwanted records …
Leicester suffered its 10th. Defeat in 11 games, losing 2-0 to West Hamu Thursday with a whimper. The saints lost nine of their previous 10 games, while Ipswich lost six of his previous seven.
According to OPTA, the fate of Saints is already sealed, with Foxes’ chances of survival to only 2.4 percent and Kieran McKenna to 3.4 percent.
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Southampton are It is still struggling to avoid becoming the worst team in the history of the Premier League. Currently, the side of Ivan Juric is on the road to register 13 points – two points more than the current unwanted record held by Derby in 2007/08.
The worst season of PL
| Team |
Season |
Point |
| Derby |
07/08 |
11 |
| Sunderland |
05/06 |
15 |
| Huddersfield |
18/19 |
16 |
| Aston villa |
15/16 |
17 |
| Sunderland |
02/03 |
19 |
The table below shows how many of the three promoted teams survived every season from 1996/97, revealing that two or more sides often avoided falling until around 2013/14 – except for the period between 2004 and 2008.
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We stand out from the Premier League conflict between West Ham and Leicester.
However, more than one team survived only four times in the last 10 seasons, and this campaign could be the first time that all three promoted sides were discarded in campaigns backwards, after which Burnley, Sheffield United and Luton suffered a fall in the last term.
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The chart below pretends that survival rate to a valid, five -year average and – here – this season will have the lowest average survival rate during this period if all three promoted sides are falling.
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Based on current points ratios, promoted teams will collect all the time of the lower than 61 combined points in this term – with last season’s trio that held the current record.
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What about the centuries -old belief that it takes ‘magical 40 points’ to survive? The table below shows that this is true in the early days – but teams were increasingly demanding less and fewer points to avoid falling.
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Again, turn these numbers into a five-year-old rolling average, and teams now usually require a closer 30 point-in-the-crop drop of almost eight points over 30 years-which is equated with a drop of 21 percent.
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So what is the solution of growing promised sides that are increasingly struggling to overcome? Estimation of huge amounts of money has certainly helped in the past.
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We stand out from the Premier League match between Chelsea and Southampton.
The chart below shows each promoted team from 1995/96 against their net consumption on transfers during the appropriate campaign – revealing a clear connection between survival (teams in green) and high consumption levels.
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Paul Merson remained shocked by the quality of the quality of Southampton, and expressed concern for the side of the south coast after a loss of 4-0 from Chelsea.
However, this season promoted sides (marked with blue) look to disguise even more unwanted records – with Ipswich becomes the most vulnerable promoted side to suffered current relegation.
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FREE to watch: highlighted from the Manchester United match against Ipswich Town in the Premier League.
Probably, Tractor Boys needed more investment after winning promotions backwards from the League 1. However, the saints also registered more than £ 100m net consumption; This sum outweighs Fulham’s current record, set in 2018/19.
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And the trio threw out its stands early, collectively spraying a record £ 315m in summer only in the summer window.
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As the Championship promotion race is heated, with Leeds, Sheffield United, Burnley and Sunderland, who are fighting for automatic videos and numerous teams in the play-off mix, their chances to return to the second level next year.
