February 10, the largest anti -war coalition of Sudan, Taqaddum, finally fell apart.
The disagreement was about whether to participate in the new parallel government, which was set by paramilitary forces for fast support (RSF), one of the Ratotor Party in the almost two -year war of Sudan.
Founded in October 2023, the Taqaddum coalition included armed movements, political parties and civil society activists, led by Abdalla Hamdok, a former prime minister who overthrew the Sudanese army and RSF in 2021.
Now Taqaddum has divided into two.
Members who occupy political views in a parallel administration of the RSF are known today as Taasis (Foundation). They are mostly armed movements, analysts Al Jazeera said, who concluded the converting weapons into leading role in the new RSF Government.
“Armed groups do not have a electorate, so they rely on a large, armed actor [like the RSF] As a guarantor for political headquarters, “said Kholood Khair, founder of the director of the Counseling Center for Confluenza.
Traditional political leaders, including Hamdok, who decided not to join the RSF, formed a smaller anti -war coalition called Somoud (resistance), trying to preserve their neutrality and reputation, she said.
“Political parties do not need [a guarantor] And it would be a political suicide to form a government with RSF … they do not want to be considered to be a government with genocide, “she added, referring to the determination of the United States that the RSF committed genocide in Sudan Darfur region.
Loaded label
Taqaddum was originally an anti -war coalition that broke out the end of the conflict that broke out between the RSF army in April 2023, after the dispute over how and when to integrate the first to the second.
The conflict has encouraged the largest humanitarian crisis for mostly measures, and tens of thousands killed in armed conflict, starred in several regions, and about 12 million people eradicated from their homes.
Taqaddum has already fought for relevance, with many of his civilian politicians too close to RSF during interviews of mediation – allegedly focused on the end of the war and restarting the transition to the democratic rule that 2021 had crashed in 2021.
Taqaddum’s reputation left a much bigger blow when she signed the Declaration of Principles (CSR) with RSF in January 2024.
The CSR was allegedly aimed at restoring provisions on services in the RSF control areas to ensure that the group respects basic war laws.
But The agreement followed the days after the RSF captured Wad Madani, The capital of the Sudanese state of Breadbasket Guzi, where he committed crimes, including rape, robbery and out -of -court murder, according to local monitors.
At that time, many considered Taqaddum observed by RSF abuse by signing the DOP.
The agreement also caused many Western diplomats “increasing concerns that the Taqaddum parts are aligned by RSF,” said Alan Boswell, a Sudan expert on the international crisis group.
Hamid Khalafallah, an analyst of politics in Sudan and a candidate for doctorate at the University of Manchester, agreed that signing had worsened the crisis of the Taqaddum legitimacy.
“There was a problem with Taqaddum that aligned with RSF or a little more in accordance with the RSF, as the RSF kept saying what Taqaddum wanted to hear and the army was quite resistant [to peace talks]”Said Khalafallah Al Jazeera.
A new beginning?
Analysts said Al Jazeera that Split is “a blessing in disguise” because it allows Somoud members to distance themselves from the RSF, “they invent themselves” and better associate with Sudan civilians.
Boswell believes that Somoud is now less forbidden than Taqaddum, but also noticeably smaller as a coalition and predicts that the West “will wait and see” before deciding whether Somoud will consider a neutral actor.
He also believes that at best, Somoud may be part of a wider Government of civil unity, where most officials are aligned with one of the two warring parties as part of an agreement on the division of the war to end the war.
Khalafallah said Somoud should reach more local organizations and activist groups and ensure that his rhetoric is not excluded from the reality of Sudanese civilians on the ground.
“They can admit that people have better experience when [the army] Again the territory and that there is support of the military, “said Khalafallah Al Jazeera, emphasizing that Somoud could preserve his neutrality because such acknowledgment will not contrary to their call of the army and the RSF that it quickly ended this war.
Somoud spokesman Bakry Elmeddna, Associate Professor at the School of Business, Public Administration and Information Sciences at Long Island University, says Somoud has always done a reach and believes that every criticism is Taqaddum too close to the RSF for the agreement against the anti-war coalition.
She claims that the army helped writing DOP -Ai was called for signing, but refused to attend, instead using a DOP to frame Taqaddum as a coalition that “sympathizes or supports” RSF.
“We knew from the first day of the accusation [against Taqaddum] They were part of a political campaign … Everyone knew they were lies, “he told Al Jazeera.
“However, it influenced the impression of Taqaddum, but to tell you honestly, I do not believe there was evidence to suggest that Taqaddum supported the RSF.”
Many civilians across the country despise the RSF and greet the collection of the territory of the military, saying that the army brings some form of stability.
However, the army was also accused of committing a wave of killing retaliation against perceived RSF sympathizers. The attacks are often in ethnic lines or against activists and local assistance workers, according to human rights groups, UN monitors and activists on the field.
The spokesman for the army of Nabil Abdullah has repeatedly denied such allegations of Al Jazeera.
