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The odds for massive asteroid striking countries increase again: NASA


The chance of asteroid as large as the width of the NFL field that hits the ground still marked, says NASA.

Recently discovered Asteroid 2024 YR4 Now there is 2.6% probability of influence or 1 of 38 chances. This is more than 1.9% likelihood after the initial chance of 1% at the end of January. On the other hand, this means that there is more than 97% chance that the asteroid will swallow the past of the country.

It is estimated that the celestial body is between 130 and 300 feet, and it is expected that on December 2, 2032. NFL field By the side line is 160 feet.

The chance of asteroid as large as the width of the NFL field that hits the ground still marked, says NASA. The recently detected asteroid 2024 YR4 now has a 2.6% probability of influence or 1 of 38 chances. The upper picture is an illustration. (East)

The asteroid of the “Potentially” Stadium asteroid is expected by NASA, to move “relatively close”

The chances of strike will almost certainly continue to go up and down because the asteroid path around the sun is better understandable, and astronomers have said that there is a good chance that the risk can be reduced to zero.

The NASA and space telescope of the European Space Agency will observe this asteroid near the country in March before the facility disappears from view. Once this happens, scientists will have to wait until 2028. When it passes us again.

In the unlikely case that 2024 is on the impact trajectory, Nasa said The influence would appear somewhere along the risky corridor, which extends through the Eastern Pacific Ocean, North South America, the Atlantic Ocean, Africa, the Arabian Sea and South Asia. Nasa said that if he slammed into the ground, she would affect high speed, about 38,000 miles per hour.

The asteroid received the level 3 of 10 on a scale of the danger of Turin impact, a system used to measure potential hazards represented by objects near Earth.

This picture available by the University of Hawaii, the Asteroid Asteroid Ash Efferection System, shows the asteroid 2024 YR4 27. December 2024. (Atlas / University of Hawaii / NASA by AP)

The asteroid of the “Potentially” Stadium asteroid is expected by NASA, to move “relatively close”

At Level 3, the ladder suggests: “A narrow encounter, deserving the attention of astronomers. Current budgets give 1% or a greater chance of collision capable of localized destruction. Most likely, the new telescopic observation will lead to re -assignment to level 0. The attention of public and public officers deserves is if the meeting is less than a decade. “

The warning level is the second highest recorded since 2004 when the asteroid apofis reached level 4, but additional observations later found that its trajectory would cause it to pass the country At a safe distance of about 20,000 miles in 2029.

However, experts say it is too early to take care of this asteroid.

Orbit 2024 with positions of January 31, 2025. (OUR)

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“No one should be worried that the likelihood of impact is increasing. This is the behavior that our team expected,” said Paul Chodas, director of the NASA Center for Studies on a facility near Earth, said Associated Press. “To be clear, we expect that the likelihood of influence at some point will be reduced to zero.”

The asteroid 2024 YR4 was first reported at the Planet Center, an international clearing house for small bodies of position, by the NASA last warning system funded by asteroid (Atlas) in Chile on December 27. The Atlas consists of several telescopes around the world and manages the Institute of Astronomy of the University of Hawaii.

Fox Weather and Associated Press contributed to this report.



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