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Doge cuts are great but not enough to stop the debt to reach $ 40 trillion


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Although it seems to be every day Americans can be more than a waste, Federal Government’s fraud and abuse, unfortunately, America is on an unsustainable financial path and numbers do not lie. State debt has increased in the past $ 36.5 trillion, without signs of slowing down. Both sides are copper, but it is a relentless incentive for the expansion of the Government, social programs and reckless consumption that put us on a trajectory towards an inevitable debt of $ 40 trillion.

Fiscal budget lines of an item that no one mentions

When you examine carefully What happens to a fiscal budget, There are only four lines of objects that are significant for total expenditures in the United States. Here are:

1. Health Programs (Medicare and Medicaid)

These programs collectively make up about $ 1.67 billion dollars per year, which represents 24% of the federal budget. Medicare provides health coverage of the elderly, while Medicaid helps individuals with low income. Population aging and growing health care costs make it challenging to reduce consumption in this area.

Doge starting findings at the Dei DEI DEPENDENT Consumption could save $ 80 million, says the agency

2. Social insurance

With an annual expense of about $ 1.5 trillion, Social insurance makes up 21% budget. It offers pensions and disability benefits for citizens who are eligible. Considering the role of the primary source of revenue for many retirees, any attempts to reduce benefits are facing significant political resistance.

Doge reduces the budget. It’s a good start and not enough. File: US national debt exceeded $ 36 trillion. (All-in Podcast/Jemal Countess/Peter G. Peterson Foundation/Chip Somodeville/Getty Images)

3. Net interest on debt

There is a part of the problem here about why $ 40 debt is inevitable. State debt interest is a whopping $ 1.1 trillion a year, making 15.6% of the budget. As the debt is growing and interest rates grow, these debt payments are similar to a household that has been deprived of a long credit card on a one -way dead track to bankruptcy.

4. Consumption for defense

The defense budget is around $ 884 billion, which accounts for 12.5% ​​of federal consumption. These include funding for military operations, staff, equipment and research. National security concerns and geopolitical dynamics reduce the reduction of defense politically sensitive.

When you add all four of these lines, it is almost 73% of the total fiscal budget. Certainly, it makes sense to shake off the federal government upside down as if you were looking for coins on the couch, as this is the beginning of a decrease in total state consumption. However, this will not make up for the money that we still need to start these three main programs, and as interest rates remain high, their own debt sinks deeper and deeper into the hole.

Consumption reduction in these areas is full of challenges. Health care and social security are vital for millions, and any cuts can have wide social implications. Defense consumption is closely related to national security, making a reduction in politically disputed. Interest is obligatory; Both the debt escalates and these payments, creating a vicious cycle.

What about the generation of more revenue? 3 The biggest flow of income

The federal income is currently stepping to be just over $ 5 trillion and, despite the buzzing of tariffs and other taxes, we really get the income of three sources:

1. An individual income tax

These taxes contribute approximately 51.6% of total federal revenue. When you hear the mythical cry “taxes rich”, given that almost 50% of Americans do not pay the federal income tax at all, it is a great reality that the main way to increase the income to get people who make a lot of money to pay more. Increasing income tax rates is politically challenging and could discourage economic growth because the highest level of income is made by those who run companies and create jobs for Americans.

2. Salary taxes

The account of about 33% of federal revenues, salary taxes are funded by social security programs such as social security and Medicare. Remember, this mostly includes the 6.2% you pay for social insurance, 1.45% for Medicare and unemployment tax. In the last 25 years, more proposals have been discussed on how to transfer income from these sources, including an endless tax on your social insurance income, an increase in social insurance taxes over the next ten years to 7.2%and the extension of normal retirement for those born in 1980 and after 70 years.

3. Income tax

Unfortunately, people complain that if President Donald Trump lowers corporation taxes, that could poorly harm the economy. Reality is taxes that only 9% of federal revenue corporations provide corporations. Even if the tax rates on the corporations have returned to 35%, the tax revenue earned from this change could fade compared to setting the United States competitive for companies that can be located in our country.

Elon Musk’s efforts to reduce the federal government only chaser a $ 36 trillion debt. File: Musk speaks at a conservative conference on political actions (CPAC) at the Hotel and Congress Center GayLord National Resort 20. February 2025 in Oxon Hill, Maryland. ((Photo Andrew Hardik/Getty Images))

The extension of revenue from all these sources is problematic. Higher individual taxes can dampen consumer consumption and savings. Increased salary taxes are setting burdens and employees and employers, which potentially affects employment rates. Increasing income taxes can force companies to relocate business abroad, reducing the domestic tax base.

Political Reality: Doge is the beginning, but both sides have to surrender to solve this problem …

So far, Doga estimates savings of over $ 100 billion. This is a combination of property sales, termination of contract/lease and negotiation, fraud and irregular deletion of payment, aid cancellation, interest savings, programming changes, regulatory savings and deduction of labor. Let’s not the light of the fact that $ 100 billion is meaningful, but it is far from the cluster from closing the gap on a fiscal 2 trillion deficit, which we are now working, with half of that net interest on debt.

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What Americans do most hate to hear bad news or heavy news, which is why we choose new presidents who have major grades of approval until they start making serious changes. No one likes severe changes. Appraisitions are falling and politicians adapt to becoming more favorable to the US public.

While the Republicans speak of fiscal responsibility, they have largely given up the struggle for balanced budgets. We need it now in the worst possible way. The national debt has also increased with President George W. Bush and Trump, proving that even so -called conservatives are ready to spend freely when it suits their agenda.

Reality is taxes that only 9% of federal revenue corporations provide corporations. Even if the tax rates on the corporations have returned to 35%, the tax revenue earned from this change could fade compared to setting the United States competitive for companies that can be located in our country.

In the meantime, Democrats openly accept the mass spread of the Government, claiming that “a deficit is not important” and that the rich can easily tax more to cover costs. It’s always a democratic response, play Robin Hood. Take the rich and give those who deserve it more (even after you inserted the tail to make money).

The truth is that the taxation of the rich will never be enough. Even if the government seized all the richness of the American billionaire, it would barely make a recess in state debt. The only right solution is to reduce consumption and increase taxes at the same time, but there is no political will on both sides. Any attempt at a fiscal restraint meets with a fierce opposition to special interests and politicians, the media outraged and charges of cruelty on one side or the other.

Put forward: We got stuck and that’s why we’re guessing $ 40 trillion

Now they are racing towards a long of $ 40 trillion, and the consequences will be difficult. Inflation, economic stagnation and declining global position are just some of the risks we face if we do not get our fiscal house.

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When your kids cry at the candy store, do you always yield them and buy them a piece of candy? The answer is no. The answer is not what Americans want to hear. The answer is that it is time to avoid a full economic crisis through serious consumption reductions, reform of right and return to healthy fiscal policy. It will not be easy and will not be popular, but the alternative – bankruptcy America – is far worse.

If we do not do something soon, Washington’s dependence on consumption and a political class that does not want to make difficult decisions, reaching $ 40 billion dollars of debt is not only possible – this is inevitable.

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