According to the initial conditions of the Agreement, which in November brought a truce between Israel and the Lebanese group of Hezbollah, it was first necessary to withdraw its forces from South Lebanon until January 26.
That date came and left, but Israel refused to withdraw his army, and the deadline was pushed up to 18 February. Israel also continued to sporadically bombard the areas in Lebanon – to mass renunciations from the latter – claiming that the targeted Hezbollah was targeted for a violation of the ceasefire.
The Israeli presence in South Lebanon means that thousands of people still cannot return to their homes in the border villages, and the Israeli troops fired at people who approach too much.
Conflict between Israel and Hezbollah – a Shiite group that is the strongest military force in Lebanon – began on October 8th, because the Lebanese group in solidarity launched strikes with the Palestinian group Hamas in Gaza, which was under the Israeli attack. Israel enhanced his attacks on Lebanon in September and killed Hezbollah’s leader Hassan Nasrallah September 27.
Israel has killed about 4000 people across Lebanon since October 2023.
Why is Israel still occupied by South Lebanon? How is this “truce”? And what exactly is the ultimate game of Israel?
Here’s all you need to know.
Has the ‘interruption of fire’ stopped the war?
While Hezbollah stopped his attacks, Israel did not.
The Israeli bombing is nowhere near the same intensity as before the truce began on November 27, and the night bombing of Beirut’s southern suburb stopped.
However, Israel still performs attacks, some of which are north of the Litani River – from which Hezbollah is obliged to move its forces north of the trial agreement.
Project data on location and events of armed conflict (ACLED), data collection group, recorded 330 air strike and shelling incidents performed Israel between November 27 and January 10, as well as 260 events of the destruction of property.
What about Hezbollah?
Israel claims that Hezbollah also did not fulfill the conditions of tribute.
Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz said Hezbollah did not withdraw north of the Litana River, located in South Lebanon.
“If this condition is not fulfilled, there will be no agreement and Israel will be forced to act alone to ensure the safe return of the inhabitants of the north to their homes,” Katz said in January.
Hezbollah’s Secretary -General Naim Qassem said in a speech at the end of January that Hezbollah had complied with the fire interruption agreement, but did not particularly say whether his group completely withdrew from the south or not.
Acled recorded one attack that performed Hezbollah since the truce began.
“Hezbollah mainly refrained from violence – there were no direct attacks on the Israeli soil since the truce came into force, except for one attack on December 2 against the Israeli town of Al ALMA in occupied territories we coded like Syria,” ACLED’s Ameneh Mepara said Al Jazeeeri.
Qassem said the group would remain patient despite repeated attacks against it.
What was the international reaction?
Lebanon filed a complaint with the United Nations against Israel for a violation of the tribute.
French President Emmanuel Macron urged Israel to fulfill the first deadline for a truce to pull his troops, to a small effect. France and the United States were the original brokers of the agreement.
Is there a regress for breach?
According to diplomatic sources, the US – a strong ally of Israel – have assured that the contract will adhere to.
But there was no other complaint – and no proposed punishment – whether the truce should be violated.
Israel is not yet responsible for repeated trials or extension of the period of interruption of fire by February 18th.
What happens if Israel refuses to leave Lebanon?
It’s unclear.
Hezbollah’s Qassem said in January that the patience of his group could run out of the violations of Israel. But in recent speech, he seemed responsible to oppose Israel in the Lebanese state.
“The Lebanese State is fully responsible for monitoring, pressing and trying to prevent as much as possible, sponsors and international pressure, this violation and this Israeli aggression,” Qassem said in a television address last week.
The Lebanese army should move to southern Lebanon as part of the tribute agreement.
Each Hezbollah’s response will be limited by a weakened position in which it is found. The decline of President Bashar Al-Assad’s regime in Syria has cut off the main road of Hezbollah to receive a weapon from its primary supporter, Iran.
His military abilities also took over severe beating during a two -month escalation from September to November, during which Israel was attacked by Lebanon. And she lost most of her upper military leadership.
For these reasons, Hezbollah seems to be reluctant to take any action that will give Israel a reason to enhance his attacks.
