The poll shows the most popular and least popular parts of Trump’s inauguration day agenda

A new poll released on Inauguration Day reveals some of the most popular and least favorite aspects of President-elect Trump’s agenda.

A survey by the Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research provides insight into attitudes among American adults about mass deportations, tariffs, possible pardons for rebels on Jan. 6 and increased drilling for U.S. oil and gas, among other proposals floated by the soon-to-be 47th. president in the 2024 campaign. The poll found a substantial share of Americans to be neutral about parts of Trump’s agenda, signaling that public opinion could easily shift in the coming for weeks.

The survey of 1,147 adults was conducted Jan. 9-13, using a sample drawn from NORC’s probability-based AmeriSpeak panel, which is designed to be representative of the US population. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.9 percentage points.

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Mass deportations

Among his campaign promises, Trump promised to launch the largest deportation program in US history. According to an AP-NORC poll, targeted deportations of immigrants with felony convictions would be popular among adult U.S. citizens, even if they include immigrants who are in the country legally.

The poll found that about eight in 10 American adults support deporting all immigrants living in the U.S. illegally who have been convicted of a violent crime — including about two-thirds who are strongly in favor — and about seven in 10 support deporting all immigrants living in the U.S. -in. in the US who have been convicted of a violent crime. Yet only four in 10 American adults support deporting immigrants who are in the country illegally and have not been convicted of a crime, according to the survey.

Tariffs

Trump has also proposed sweeping tariffs on foreign goods imported into the United States, and the transition team has reportedly been working on a phase-in plan aimed at neutralizing a potential rise in inflation as a result.

Nearly half of American adults “somewhat” or “strongly” oppose imposing a tariff, also called an import tax, on all goods brought into the U.S. from other countries, according to an AP-NORC poll.

The poll found that about three in 10 are in favor and about a quarter are neutral, saying they neither support nor oppose the policy. AP estimates that opinion could swing in both directions if the tariffs are implemented.

Republicans are more likely than Democrats and independents to support broad tariffs, but about four in 10 are opposed or unsure. Slightly more than half of Republicans favor imposing tariffs on all goods imported into the US

January 6 of forgiveness

Trump indicated in the campaign that he he would probably issue pardons for many of the more than 1,500 people who have been charged in connection with the January 6, 2021 riots at the US Capitol.

An AP-NORC poll found that about two in 10 American adults “somewhat” or “strongly” support pardoning most of the people involved in the Capitol riots.

Meanwhile, about six in 10 “somewhat” or “strongly” oppose the proposal, including half who are strongly opposed, and about two in 10 are neutral.

As for members of Trump’s party, the poll found that about four in 10 Republicans are in favor of pardoning many of the participants on Jan. 6, while about three in 10 are neutral and about three in 10 are opposed.

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‘Drill Baby Drill’

Trump has vowed to establish American “energy dominance,” often repeating chants of “Drill, baby, dill” at rallies as he touted his plan to lower energy costs by increasing U.S. oil and gas drilling, including on federal lands.

But an AP-NORC poll found that most American adults are divided on the issue. About one-third of Americans “somewhat” or “strongly” support increasing oil drilling on federal lands, while about 4 in 10 oppose it.

The rest — about one-quarter — are neutral, saying they neither support nor oppose increased oil drilling on federal lands.

Republicans generally support increasing oil drilling, but the proposal is not popular among Democrats or independents, according to the poll.

The Paris Climate Agreement

Trump has indicated that he will withdraw from Paris Climate Agreement the second time he takes office.

According to an AP-NORC poll, about half of Americans “somewhat” or “strongly” oppose withdrawing from the deal.

Only about two in 10 American adults are “somewhat” or “strongly” in favor of withdrawing from an agreement aimed at reducing carbon emissions, while about one-quarter are neutral.

AP estimates that the majority of the opposition is made up of Democrats, but Republicans also show some uncertainty. Slightly less than half of Republicans are in favor, while about three in 10 are against.

Chapter IX

AND federal judge in Kentucky recently rejected the Biden administration’s attempt to redefine gender in Title IX as “gender identity,” blocking the change nationwide.

The AP-NORC poll categorized Biden’s overhaul of Title IX as promoting “protections” from discrimination for transgender or LGBTQ+ students, but the Trump campaign highlighted the stories of female athletes and girls who spoke out about losing scholarship opportunities and feeling uncomfortable and insecure when forced to they compete for it with biological men who identify as women or change in locker rooms with them.

The survey found opposition outnumbered support for “repeal of protections for transgender students” under Title IX, the federal law that prohibits any high school or college that receives federal funding from discriminating on the basis of gender.

Nearly half of American adults are “somewhat” or “strongly” opposed to repealing these protections, while about three in 10 are in favor and the rest are neutral, according to the survey.

Abolition of the debt ceiling

Trump pressed lawmakers to raise or repeal the national debt ceiling late last year as Congress struggled to reach a spending deal that avoided a government shutdown.

The poll found that about half of American adults oppose lifting the debt ceiling, while about one-quarter are in favor and about three in 10 are neutral, signaling that there may be room for a shift in public opinion.

Democrats are only slightly more likely than Republicans to oppose repealing the debt ceiling, according to the survey.

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Trump also advocated for tax cuts for Americans, and in particular coined the campaign slogan “No Tax on Tipping.” The poll found that just over half of American adults support ending the tax on tipped earnings.

The Associated Press contributed to this report.