It looks like the 22nd round of the Premier League season could be crucial.
Leaders Liverpool looked set to drop points away to Brentford before a stoppage-time double from the under-fire Darwin Nunez inspired a great 2-0 victorywhich became more significant only when Arsenal let their own two-goal lead slip away against Aston Villa later in the day.
There is still a long way to go, but here are the statistics Opta watch the Premier League title race unfold after the latest round of drama.
Arsenal’s draw means Liverpool they are now six points clear at the top of the table, with the added bonus of having a game less to play away to Everton next month.
No doubt, that is a significant advantage in this part of the season.
This is reflected in the statistics, with Opta giving Liverpool a staggering 91.5% giving Arne Slott the Premier League trophy in his first season at Anfield. No team has a better chance of finishing in any position than Liverpool in first place.
Mikel Arteta knows there is a gap to close Arsenal will finally win the title this year. The stats are definitely not on his side, the Gunners are given just an 8.2% chance of challenging for the title away from Liverpool.
However, it is not a two-horse race. Eighth placed Manchester City they still have a 0.2% chance of completing the most incredible title turnaround in history, while high-flying Nottingham Forest have 0.1%.
Newcastle United and Chelsea, who are in fourth and fifth place, have no hope of a big win.
|
Rank |
Club |
Probability of winning the title |
|---|---|---|
|
1. |
Liverpool |
91.5% |
|
2. |
Arsenal |
8.2% |
|
3. |
Manchester City |
0.2% |
|
4. |
Nottingham Forest |
0.1% |
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